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The German government has presented its draft budget for 2025, which is expected to be adopted in September. It is a breakaway budget marked by a clear return to public investment and support for business investment, at the cost of a significant increase in debt. This budget is one of the pillars of Germany’s new
The Spending Review and the GBP 725 billion ten-year infrastructure plan, unveiled on 11 and 19 June, respectively, demonstrate the British government’s desire to move away from forced fiscal consolidation. Getting public finances back on track remains a major challenge in the UK, which is constrained by pressure from the bond market, and provides a
ADVANCED ECONOMIESNATOThe Hague Summit (24-25 June) is expected to announce a target of 5% of GDP dedicated to defence. By 2035, Member States should commit to allocating 3.5% of their annual GDP to military spending and 1.5% to defence spending in the broad sense (infrastructure, including satellites). Although most countries, notably Germany, have committed to
Monday, June 23, 2025 Eco Week Markets Review – 23 June 2025 Eco Week EcoNews – 23 June 2025 Scenario and forecasts The updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research – 23 June 2025 Thursday, June 19, 2025 Eco Flash FOMC: Waiting and Divided Wednesday, June 18, 2025 Charts of the Week In the
Advances economiesThe trade war between the United States and the European Union has begun. US tariffs of 25% on all steel and aluminium imports came into force on 12 March. In response, the EU will re-impose, from 1 April, the rebalancing measures introduced during the first Trump administration, and will impose a new, more substantial
Monday, June 23, 2025 Eco Week Markets Review – 23 June 2025 Eco Week EcoNews – 23 June 2025 Scenario and forecasts The updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research – 23 June 2025 Thursday, June 19, 2025 Eco Flash FOMC: Waiting and Divided Wednesday, June 18, 2025 Charts of the Week In the
Last week, the Trump administration announced tariffs against the entire world which, added to those of previous weeks, will raise the average external tariff of the United States to 22%, compared with 2.5% at the end of 2024. Financial markets have reacted extremely badly, and suggest even more serious fears for US growth than for
ADVANCED ECONOMIESUnited States – WorldTariffs for everyone. Trump announced “reciprocal tariffs” on 2 April, applying to all of the United States’ trading partners and ranging from 10% to 50% (complete list). The new 10% floor rate has been in force since 5 April. The higher rates will apply from 9 April: 20% for the European
Thursday, June 19, 2025 Eco Flash FOMC: Waiting and Divided Wednesday, June 18, 2025 Charts of the Week In the Eurozone, inflation is also a monetary phenomenon Monday, June 16, 2025 Eco Week Markets Review – 16 June 2025 Eco Week EcoNews – 16 June 2025 Scenario and forecasts The updated scenario and forecasts of
As a result of the post-Covid debts surge and rising interest rates, the financial burden on governments is increasing. In the OECD, it has reached 3.3% of GDP, its highest level since 2010. For the European Union, the end of the period of cheap money coincides with a substantial increase in its borrowing requirements, partly