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International Trade“Liberation Day” is approaching. Without waiting for 2 April, the date of the announcement of the “reciprocal tariffs”, which Donald Trump is calling “Liberation Day”, on 26 March, he announced 25% customs duties on cars manufactured outside of the United States, to take effect on 3 April. He also announced that tariffs on imports
Thursday, June 19, 2025 Eco Flash FOMC: Waiting and Divided Wednesday, June 18, 2025 Charts of the Week In the Eurozone, inflation is also a monetary phenomenon Monday, June 16, 2025 Eco Week Markets Review – 16 June 2025 Eco Week EcoNews – 16 June 2025 Scenario and forecasts The updated scenario and forecasts of
The message delivered by Beijing at the annual meeting of the National People’s Congress at the beginning of March was clear: whatever the difficulties linked to trade and technological rivalries with the United States, the Chinese economy must achieve growth of close to 5% in 2025. The target has remained unchanged since 2023. It seems
ADVANCED ECONOMIESUnited StatesThe Fed in a state of equilibrium (EcoFlash of March 20). Its interest rate target has remained at +4.25% – +4.50%, but with a significant downward revision to the median forecast for growth (-0.4 pp to +1.7 y/y in Q4 2025) and an upward revision to the median forecast for PCE inflation (+0.2
THE ECONOMISTS WHO PARTICIPATED IN THIS ARTICLE Team : Data and Analytics Team PDF – Full publication Other articles from the same publication China in 2025: temporary adjustment or structural rebalancing of economic growth drivers? The message delivered by Beijing at the annual meeting of the National People’s Congress at the beginning of March was
They say the Davos consensus is always wrong, but it usually takes longer than a couple of months to be apparent. Not so in 2025.Back on Inauguration Day, world elites gathered in the Swiss Alps were enthusiastic about the prospects of the US economy under Donald Trump’s second mandate. So were US households and small
Thursday, June 19, 2025 Eco Flash FOMC: Waiting and Divided Wednesday, June 18, 2025 Charts of the Week In the Eurozone, inflation is also a monetary phenomenon Monday, June 16, 2025 Eco Week Markets Review – 16 June 2025 Eco Week EcoNews – 16 June 2025 Scenario and forecasts The updated scenario and forecasts of
Every Spring and Fall, economic and financial policymakers from the whole world gather in Washington DC for the IMF/WB Meetings. Thousands of private financial sector professionals tag along. All over town, in both formal and informal settings, participants share and compare with their peers their own assessments of the world’s economic prospects. In my 25
GLOBALIMF growth forecasts sharply revised downwards. Taking into account the protectionist shock caused by the Trump administration and the very high level of uncertainty that now surrounds economic policies, the IMF has just revised its forecasts for global economic growth significantly downwards.For the advanced countries, average growth, which was 1.8% in 2024, is expected to
Thursday, June 19, 2025 Eco Flash FOMC: Waiting and Divided Wednesday, June 18, 2025 Charts of the Week In the Eurozone, inflation is also a monetary phenomenon Monday, June 16, 2025 Eco Week Markets Review – 16 June 2025 Eco Week EcoNews – 16 June 2025 Scenario and forecasts The updated scenario and forecasts of