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Thursday, June 19, 2025 Eco Flash FOMC: Waiting and Divided Wednesday, June 18, 2025 Charts of the Week In the Eurozone, inflation is also a monetary phenomenon Monday, June 16, 2025 Eco Week Markets Review – 16 June 2025 Eco Week EcoNews – 16 June 2025 Scenario and forecasts The updated scenario and forecasts of
Central European economies have defied pessimist predictions in recent years on their ability to cope with shocks. The region posted a less pronounced GDP contraction in 2020 compared to advanced EU countries. In 2022, at the onset of the Russia-Ukraine war, the region was viewed as the most exposed within Europe due its high energy
INTERNATIONAL TRADEUnited States/United Kingdom Trade Deal: the United Kingdom has obtained an exemption from customs duties on aluminium and steel, provided that it meets the United States’ economic-security requirements in their supply chains. A quota of 100,000 cars (i.e. the vast majority of exported vehicles) will see their customs duties reduced to 10%, compared with
Thursday, June 19, 2025 Eco Flash FOMC: Waiting and Divided Wednesday, June 18, 2025 Charts of the Week In the Eurozone, inflation is also a monetary phenomenon Monday, June 16, 2025 Eco Week Markets Review – 16 June 2025 Eco Week EcoNews – 16 June 2025 Scenario and forecasts The updated scenario and forecasts of
Since WWII ended, 80 years ago this week, the US dollar has been the unparalleled dominant currency at the center of the international monetary and financial system. Every now and then, questions have arisen about this dominance and for brief periods became front page material in the financial press. Despite the excitement invariably elicited, the
ADVANCED ECONOMIESUnited StatesNegative growth in Q1 2025 but robust job market ahead of the Fed meeting. First contraction in GDP for three years in Q1 2025 (-0.1% q/q, compared with +0.6% in Q4 2024), due to the surge in imports of goods (+10.9% q/q, the highest since 1972 excluding the post-Covid reopening), the fall in
The tariffs imposed by the Trump administration and the acceleration of the US-China decoupling will lead to a slowdown in global economic growth, a further reconfiguration of international trade, and the continued reorganization of value chains. These changes will have multiple consequences for emerging countries. All will suffer negative effects linked to the slowdown in
International tradeTensions eased between the United States and China. An agreement, yet to be formalised, has been reached between China and the United States to preserve the tariff truce and, in particular, the supply of rare earths to the United States. While the G7 could provide a window to make progress in negotiations between trading
Wednesday, June 18, 2025 Charts of the Week In the Eurozone, inflation is also a monetary phenomenon Monday, June 16, 2025 Eco Week Markets Review – 16 June 2025 Eco Week EcoNews – 16 June 2025 Scenario and forecasts The updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research – 16 June 2025 Wednesday, June 11
The first half of 2025 was marked by two major turning points: the outbreak of a global trade war by the United States and, on the European side, announcements regarding rearmament efforts and the German investment plan, supporting the Old Continent’s economic revival. The second half of the year will be marked by the aftermath