Finance
x
w
i
s
e
i
n
v
s
February inflation: sharp drop expected in France, stability in the rest of the Eurozone
WiseInvs, your right choice for your trading portfolio
February inflation: sharp drop expected in France, stability in the rest of the Eurozone
Inflation has probably eased in February, particularly in France due to the marked cut in the regulated electricity price. However, this overall movement masks divergent trends. Although disinflation is becoming more widespread (two-thirds of the components in Insee’s index show inflation below 2% y/y in January in France), prices continue to rise rapidly in services
German election: A government by Easter?
The result of the German election reveals a clear winner: the CDU/CSU. Only five parties were able to enter parliament, thereby reducing the fragmentation of the Bundestag. A grand coalition with the SPD is possible. Negotiations should begin soon to establish a common roadmap. When they come to an end, changes are to be expected:
France: trade deficit down and current account nearly in balance
The deficit on the trade in goods published by the French Customs authorities on 7 February is likely to have been EUR83 billion for 2024, from EUR100 billion in 2023 (but EUR58 billion in 2019). The improvement in the nominal deficit hides the fall in goods exports. However, the improvement in the balance in volume
FOMC: Time for a Pause
The first FOMC meeting of 2025 (28-29 January) should result in the target rate being held at +4.25% – +4.5%. In our view, this would mark the beginning of a pause lasting until mid-2026, due to the anticipated pick-up in inflation that would result from Donald Trump’s economic policy.1. The Time for Rate Cuts Appears
Eurozone: less deficit, a little more room for manoeuvre
• The euro area government deficit decreased in 2024 to -3.1% of GDP.• Italy and Greece posted primary surpluses even though their interest costs remain high• The fiscal adjustment that still needs to be provided by the countries whose deficits increased in 2024 (France, Austria, Belgium, Finland) will nevertheless act as a brake on growth
CPI looms, Fed flags caution around future rate decisions – what’s moving markets
© Reuters. Investing.com — U.S. stock futures inch higher, as markets prepared for all-important September consumer price data that could influence how the Federal Reserve approaches future interest rate decisions. Minutes from the Fed’s meeting last month showed caution among policymakers, although some officials are now wondering if a weeks-long surge in U.S. Treasury yields has
Most Fed members backed future rate hike, Fed September minutes show
© Reuters Investing.com – Most Federal Reserve policymakers agreed that one more rate hikes would be “appropriate” and emphasized the need to keep interest rates higher for longer as inflation continues to trend well above the central bank’s 2% target, the Fed’s September meeting minutes showed Wednesday. “A majority of participants judged that one more
Shares climb to 3-week high as rates debate hots up
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A woman walks past a screen displaying the Hang Seng Index at Central district, in Hong Kong, China March 17, 2023. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu/File Photo By Marc Jones LONDON (Reuters) – World shares rose and the dollar and bond market borrowing costs held steady on Thursday ahead of U.S. inflation data and
Stock Market Today: Dow ends higher as focus shifts to consumer inflation data
© Reuters Investing.com — The Dow closed higher Wednesday, shrugging off data pointing to an uptick in the pace of inflation as investor focus shifted to consumer inflation data for September that will likely seal the Federal Reserve’s decision on whether to stand pat on rate hikes next month. The rose 0.2%, 65 points, gained 0.7%
Oil down over 3% in 2 days, shredding ‘war premium’ as Saudis assure supply
© Reuters. Investing.com – Saudi Arabia is truly “balancing” the oil market by preparing to ship full volumes required by its North Asian customers, notwithstanding its output cuts — an act that’s costing it in price-per-barrel. Crude prices fell almost 3% on Wednesday, hanging on to just little of Monday’s 4% surge that came on
