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From Paris to Belem, or how climate change became a key economic issue
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From Paris to Belem, or how climate change became a key economic issue
Countries will not be able to limit global warming to +1.5°C compared to pre-industrial levels, as was the ambition of the Paris Agreement ten years ago. However, it would be wrong to conclude that it was a failure. Paris was the catalyst in accelerating for the race to decarbonisation, not only in the European Union
EcoNews – 15 December 2025 | BNP Paribas – Economic Research
International trade- Agreement between the United States and several Asian countries (including Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Australia and Israel) on AI. It aims to secure supply chains for critical materials in a market controlled by China to nearly 70%.- Mexico has increased its customs duties (from 5% to 50% on more than 1,400 products) on
Markets Overview – 15 December 2025
Monday, December 15, 2025 Scenario and forecasts The updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research – 15 December 2025 Tuesday, December 9, 2025 Eco Week Markets Overview – 8 December 2025 Eco Week EcoNews – 8 December 2025 Thursday, December 4, 2025 Podcast – Macro Waves Emerging economies — Solid growth, limited room for
Fed: Powell’s legacy should endure
The context surrounding the December 9-10 FOMC meeting (BNP Paribas scenario: -25bp), which marks the final meeting of 2025, serves as a prelude to the challenges that the Federal Reserve will face in 2026. The outlook for the dual mandate calls for differing responses, and uncertainty prevails, fuelled by divisions among FOMC members that stand
EcoNews – 8 December 2025
ADVANCED ECONOMIESUnited StatesMixed signals continue between economic activity and employment. In November, private payroll fell by 31,000 according to the ADP survey ( the third month of contraction in four), which was the worst result since March 2023. The “Employment” component of the ISM survey echoed this (-2.0 points to 44 for manufacturing, +0.3 points
Markets Overview – 8 December 2025
Tuesday, December 9, 2025 Eco Week Markets Overview – 8 December 2025 Eco Week EcoNews – 8 December 2025 Monday, December 8, 2025 Scenario and forecasts The updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research – 8 December 2025 Thursday, December 4, 2025 Podcast – Macro Waves Emerging economies — Solid growth, limited room for
Full circle
This is my last contribution to Ecoweek before my retirement within a couple of weeks. Looking back at a career in banking and asset management that spans several decades, my main conclusion is that history repeats itself, at least to some degree. When I started in banking in 1987, a hotly debated topic was whether
EcoNews 1 December 2025
ADVANCED ECONOMIESUNITED STATESConsumers are concerned, but producer prices and investment are reassuring. Retail sales slowed in September to +0.2% m/m in value (-0.4pp), especially excluding sales of automobiles and gasoline stations (-0.5pp, or +0.1% m/m). Consumer confidence (Conference Board) fell in November (88.7, -6.8 points) and pessimism grew (about the business climate and income). In
Markets Overview 1 December 2025
Monday, December 1, 2025 Eco Week Markets Overview 1 December 2025 Eco Week EcoNews 1 December 2025 Eco Week Full circle Scenario and forecasts The updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research – 1 December 2025 Thursday, November 27, 2025 EcoTV Focus on signs of good health in the French economy Monday, November 24
Emerging economies: Will growth hold up as well in 2026?
Growth in emerging economies remained solid in 2025, driven by exports and supportive financial conditions. Global trade was stimulated by export front loading ahead of US tariff increases, as well as by the reconfiguration of trade flows and the boom in the tech sector. In 2026, growth in emerging economies is expected to remain resilient
